We’re serving up picks for Tuesday’s loaded MLB slate with a close look at candidates to go yard.

Our targets are based largely on the eyeball test — with a bit of logic. As in: data to support the lean.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants, 7:15 p.m. ET

Giants SS Willy Adames, +390 to hit a HR (FanDuel)

With four home runs in his past seven games, Adames is heating up with the weather in July and certainly enjoys swinging it in Hotlanta. In his most recent series at the Braves last August (Aug. 6–8), Adames had three multi-hit games and three home runs.

Adames is hitting just .230 this season but continued his hot streak Monday night, going 4-for-5 with two doubles and a home run.

In 16 games in July, Adames is batting .333 (20-for-60) with five doubles, one triple, six homers, 16 RBIs and 12 runs.

We wouldn’t be shy about the 2+ total bases prop if you’re backing Adames on Tuesday night against Davis Daniel.

Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays, 7:35 p.m. ET

Rays 1B Yandy Díaz, +420 to hit HR (FanDuel, DraftKings)

Díaz belted his 16th dinger of the season on Monday night, and the White Sox — winners of four in a row — are activating Davis Martin to make the start Tuesday night.

Martin has struggled mightily on the road, allowing 22 runs (20 earned) in 39 innings with six home runs.

Díaz doubled in his only career at-bat against Martin and has crushed White Sox pitching overall (six hits in 11 at-bats).

Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 9:40 p.m. ET

Brewers OF Christian Yelich, +520 to hit HR (BetMGM, FanDuel)
Yelich is homering at a clip of nearly once every five games and is seeing the ball well during Milwaukee’s road trip. He has hits in four consecutive games and just so happens to be slugging 1.500 against Seattle starter Logan Gilbert.

In six career at-bats — a tiny sample size, admittedly — Yelich has posted some notable results: two home runs and three RBIs. Gilbert has surrendered nine home runs in 12 starts this season.